Case Overview
The item pool includes AUG skins across multiple finishes and wear states. Premium finishes in low-wear conditions contribute a notable portion of total theoretical value, while mid-tier variants provide consistent distribution support. Lower-tier outputs are present for structural balance. The transition between tiers is gradual, resulting in a moderate variance profile with clear but not extreme differentiation.
Value and Risk Factors
Expected value is influenced by probability allocation across finish rarity and condition levels. Variance is moderate, supported by a relatively even spread between tiers. Risk factors include demand fluctuations for specific AUG finishes and liquidity differences across wear states. Key analytical factors include condition dispersion, finish desirability, and overall demand stability within the AUG category.

