Case Overview
The item pool features a range of weapons with boreal-style finishes, distributed across several wear conditions. While premium low-wear variants contribute to total theoretical value, mid-tier outputs represent a significant portion of the distribution. Lower-tier items are included for structural balance. The distribution is relatively even, aligning with a moderate-variance profile.
Value and Risk Factors
Expected value is derived from both upper-tier probabilities and cumulative mid-tier contributions. Variance is controlled compared to more concentrated cases due to smoother tier transitions. Risk factors include demand variability for themed finishes and liquidity differences across weapon categories. Key analytical factors include distribution symmetry, condition dispersion, and consistency of market demand.