Case Overview
The item pool includes consumer-grade, restricted, and classified skins, with occasional covert-tier entries. The distribution is relatively smooth, with mid-tier items occupying a significant portion of the probability space. This structure results in a balanced outcome range with limited extreme values.
Value and Risk Factors
Expected value is supported by consistent mid-tier returns, while higher-tier items provide incremental contribution. Variance is moderate due to the presence of both stable and less frequent outcomes. Risk factors include dependence on pricing stability within the Chop Shop collection and the limited frequency of premium items, which affects overall dispersion and return consistency.