Case Overview
The item pool includes consumer-grade to covert skins, along with a small subset of glove items in the highest tier. The rarity curve is extended, with a large concentration of outcomes in lower tiers and a long tail of premium items. This creates a high-dispersion structure with diverse item categories.
Value and Risk Factors
Expected value is driven by frequent lower-tier items and occasional high-tier contributions, particularly from glove outcomes. Variance is high due to the wide valuation range and low probability of premium items. Risk factors include uneven liquidity across item categories and dependence on rare outcomes, which significantly influence overall return variability.