Factory New
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Factory New

skin.club
Case Price
$28.01
Total EV
$25.21
EV Ratio
0.900×
Skins in case
23
EV Ratio = Total EV / Case Price. A ratio of 0.900× means that statistically, each case opening returns 90.0% of the case cost. Results are random - individual outcomes will vary from statistical estimates.

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Roll Factory New against its real drop rates and watch the math play out.

About this case

Where Is This Case Available?

The Factory New case is available on skin.club. It contains 23 skins with published drop rate statistics. The Expected Value and drop rate data below reflect current statistical data for this specific case listing on skin.club.

Case Overview

The case is structured around skins exclusively in high-condition states, which narrows the item pool while maintaining a standard rarity hierarchy. Lower-tier items remain the most frequent outcomes, but their condition constraint increases baseline valuation consistency. Mid-tier skins are moderately represented, while high-tier items are limited and positioned at the upper end of the distribution. The case operates within a filtered segment where condition acts as an additional parameter alongside rarity.

Value and Risk Factors

Expected value is influenced by the condition filter, which reduces variability within lower tiers but does not eliminate distribution skew. High-tier items contribute significantly to theoretical return yet occur with low probability. Variance is moderate, with a tighter spread compared to unrestricted cases. Market demand for high-condition skins supports relatively stable valuation, though outcomes remain dependent on rarity realization.