Falchion
 We check the relevance every 3 hours

Falchion

hellcase.com
Case Price
$2.00
Total EV
$1.76
EV Ratio
0.881×
Skins in case
215
EV Ratio = Total EV / Case Price. A ratio of 0.881× means that statistically, each case opening returns 88.1% of the case cost. Results are random - individual outcomes will vary from statistical estimates.

Simulate openings

Roll Falchion against its real drop rates and watch the math play out.

Skins in Falchion (26)

About this case

Where Is This Case Available?

The Falchion case is available on hellcase.com. It contains 215 skins with published drop rate statistics. The Expected Value and drop rate data below reflect current statistical data for this specific case listing on hellcase.com.

Case Overview

The Falchion case features a defined hierarchy with a dominant base of low-tier items, a consistent mid-tier segment, and a limited allocation of high-tier outputs. The distribution is skewed, with most outcomes concentrated below the upper range and a noticeable separation toward premium entries. This results in clear differentiation between frequent and rare outcomes. Market positioning suggests stable demand, particularly for mid-tier items with established circulation.

Value and Risk Factors

Expected value is influenced by the balance between mid-tier frequency and the restricted probability of premium items. Variance is moderate to elevated due to the disparity between commonly obtained and rare outcomes. Key factors include rarity imbalance, demand durability, and the spread between median and peak values. The case reflects a moderately asymmetric EV profile with noticeable deviation.