First Strike
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First Strike

hellcase.com
Case Price
$0.30
Total EV
$0.26
EV Ratio
0.861×
Skins in case
163
EV Ratio = Total EV / Case Price. A ratio of 0.861× means that statistically, each case opening returns 86.1% of the case cost. Results are random - individual outcomes will vary from statistical estimates.

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Roll First Strike against its real drop rates and watch the math play out.

Skins in First Strike (35)

About this case

Where Is This Case Available?

The First Strike case is available on hellcase.com. It contains 163 skins with published drop rate statistics. The Expected Value and drop rate data below reflect current statistical data for this specific case listing on hellcase.com.

Case Overview

The item pool includes a variety of weapons with aggressive, high-contrast finishes, distributed across several wear conditions. Premium low-wear variants account for a notable portion of total theoretical value, while mid-tier outputs form a substantial part of the distribution. Lower-tier entries ensure structural continuity. The distribution exhibits a moderate gradient, placing the case within a moderate-to-high variance classification.

Value and Risk Factors

Expected value is influenced by probability allocation across condition tiers and demand for visually prominent finishes. Variance is elevated due to partial concentration in higher-tier outputs, though moderated by mid-tier aggregation. Risk factors include fluctuations in aesthetic demand and liquidity differences across weapon categories. Key analytical factors include finish desirability, condition dispersion, and stability of market demand.