Case Overview
The Fortune case features a diversified item pool across multiple rarity levels. Lower-tier items dominate frequency, while mid-tier entries provide structural balance within the distribution. High-tier items are present but limited, concentrating a portion of theoretical value in low-probability outcomes. The composition reflects a mixed distribution model with relatively stable demand across mid-range items.
Value and Risk Factors
Expected value is primarily supported by mid-tier frequency, which stabilizes outcomes and reduces volatility. High-tier items contribute disproportionately to theoretical value but occur infrequently, increasing variance. Most outcomes cluster within lower and mid tiers, resulting in a consistent deviation below the mean. Demand stability in mid-tier items supports value retention, while lower-tier saturation introduces downward pressure. Dispersion remains moderate.