Case Overview
The Goalrush case features a diversified item pool across multiple rarity levels. Lower-tier items dominate frequency, while mid-tier entries form a substantial portion of the distribution, contributing to overall balance. High-tier items are limited but account for a concentrated share of theoretical value. The structure reflects a mixed distribution model, with relatively stable demand across mid-range items.
Value and Risk Factors
Expected value is largely supported by mid-tier frequency, which stabilizes outcomes and reduces volatility. High-tier items contribute disproportionately to theoretical value but occur infrequently, increasing variance. Most outcomes cluster in lower and mid tiers, resulting in a consistent deviation below the mean. Demand stability in mid-tier items supports retention, while lower-tier saturation introduces downward pressure. Dispersion is moderate.