Guerrilla
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Guerrilla

hellcase.com
Case Price
$0.30
Total EV
$0.26
EV Ratio
0.860×
Skins in case
182
EV Ratio = Total EV / Case Price. A ratio of 0.860× means that statistically, each case opening returns 86.0% of the case cost. Results are random - individual outcomes will vary from statistical estimates.

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Roll Guerrilla against its real drop rates and watch the math play out.

Skins in Guerrilla (48)

hellcase.comSG 553 | Danger Close

SG 553 | Danger Close

hellcase.comGalil AR | NV

Galil AR | NV

hellcase.comM4A4 | Magnesium

M4A4 | Magnesium

hellcase.comFAMAS | Crypsis

FAMAS | Crypsis

hellcase.comAUG | Amber Slipstream

AUG | Amber Slipstream

About this case

Where Is This Case Available?

The Guerrilla case is available on hellcase.com. It contains 182 skins with published drop rate statistics. The Expected Value and drop rate data below reflect current statistical data for this specific case listing on hellcase.com.

Case Overview

The Guerrilla case features a diversified item pool across multiple rarity levels. Lower-tier items dominate frequency, while mid-tier entries provide structural balance within the distribution. High-tier items are present but limited, concentrating a portion of theoretical value in low-probability outcomes. The composition reflects a balanced framework with relatively stable demand across mid-range items.

Value and Risk Factors

Expected value is primarily supported by mid-tier frequency, which stabilizes outcomes and reduces volatility. High-tier items contribute disproportionately to theoretical value but occur infrequently, increasing variance. Most outcomes cluster within lower and mid tiers, resulting in a consistent deviation below the mean. Demand stability in mid-tier items supports value retention, while lower-tier saturation introduces downward pressure. Dispersion remains moderate.