Case Overview
The Gunpoint case includes a diversified item pool across multiple rarity levels. Lower-tier items dominate frequency, while mid-tier entries form a substantial portion of the distribution, providing structural balance. High-tier items are present but limited, concentrating a portion of theoretical value in low-probability outcomes. The composition suggests relatively stable demand across mid-range items, supporting consistent liquidity.
Value and Risk Factors
Expected value is primarily supported by mid-tier frequency, which stabilizes the distribution and reduces volatility. High-tier items contribute disproportionately to theoretical value but occur infrequently, increasing variance. Most outcomes cluster within lower and mid tiers, leading to a consistent deviation below the mean. Demand stability in mid-tier items supports value retention, while lower-tier saturation introduces downward pressure. Variance remains moderate.