Case Overview
The Horizon case features a typical hierarchy of rarity tiers, with a strong presence of restricted and classified items. While covert-tier skins are included, the gap between mid-tier and top-tier values is less pronounced compared to highly volatile cases. This creates a more uniform distribution across outcomes.
Value and Risk Factors
Expected value is influenced by a moderate dispersion of item values, resulting in reduced variance relative to more polarized cases. Frequent mid-tier outcomes contribute to a tighter return range, though probability weighting still favors lower-value items. Demand stability for included skins enhances consistency, but does not eliminate the structural limitation on long-term expected returns.