Case Overview
The item pool spans consumer-grade to classified skins, with a lower allocation to covert-tier entries compared to higher levels. The rarity distribution is more gradual, with a significant share of outcomes concentrated in lower and mid-tier categories. This creates a more balanced structure with reduced skewness.
Value and Risk Factors
Expected value is supported by frequent mid-tier results, while high-tier items contribute marginally due to lower probability weighting. Variance is lower than in higher-level cases, as the distribution includes more stabilizing outcomes. Risk factors include limited upside potential and reliance on steady pricing across mid-range skins, which influences overall return consistency.