M4A1-S
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M4A1-S

skin.club
Case Price
$3.92
Total EV
$3.53
EV Ratio
0.900×
Skins in case
36
EV Ratio = Total EV / Case Price. A ratio of 0.900× means that statistically, each case opening returns 90.0% of the case cost. Results are random - individual outcomes will vary from statistical estimates.

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Roll M4A1-S against its real drop rates and watch the math play out.

About this case

Where Is This Case Available?

The M4A1-S case is available on skin.club. It contains 36 skins with published drop rate statistics. The Expected Value and drop rate data below reflect current statistical data for this specific case listing on skin.club.

Case Overview

The case contains M4A1-S skins across multiple rarity tiers, with a balanced mix of lower-tier and mid-tier items and a smaller allocation of premium entries. The probability structure is moderately skewed, with common outcomes forming the majority. The M4A1-S category maintains steady demand, contributing to consistent liquidity across its item pool.

Value and Risk Factors

Expected value depends on the distribution between frequently occurring mid-tier skins and less frequent premium variants. Variance is moderate, reflecting a balanced rarity structure. Liquidity remains stable due to ongoing demand for M4A1-S skins, though individual item performance may vary. Over repeated observations, returns align with weighted probabilities, with controlled dispersion around the mean.