Case Overview
The item pool consists of P90 skins with a range of finishes and wear conditions. Premium variants contribute to total expected value, but mid-tier outputs form a substantial portion of the distribution. Lower-tier items provide structural continuity without dominating the pool. The distribution exhibits gradual transitions between tiers, aligning with a moderate variance classification.
Value and Risk Factors
Expected value is derived from both upper-tier probabilities and cumulative mid-tier contributions. Variance is controlled relative to more concentrated cases due to broader distribution. Risk factors include changes in demand for specific P90 finishes and liquidity variation across condition tiers. Key considerations include finish distribution, condition-based rarity, and consistency of market demand.