Case Overview
The item pool includes rifle skins across various rarity levels, from commonly traded entries to higher-tier finishes. The distribution is moderately spread, with a larger proportion of outcomes in mid-tier categories and a smaller number of premium items defining the upper range. Lower-tier fillers are present but do not dominate the structure.
Value and Risk Factors
Expected value benefits from stable demand across rifle skins, supporting liquidity and pricing consistency. Variance is moderate, as the spread between tiers exists but is less extreme than in highly top-heavy cases. The probability of accessing premium items remains limited, maintaining some dispersion in outcomes. EV is influenced by both rarity weighting and the relative balance of mid-tier results within the distribution.

