StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear)
 Aggregated data from multiple sources

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear)(Minimal Wear)

Drop chance: 0.015% - 0.67%

Case price: $6.00 - $75.00

Skin price: $209.55 - $226.73

csgomarket
$134.68
waxpeer
$128.79
steammarket
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Description

📊 Statistical Analysis

Drop rate range0.015% – 0.670%EV contribution (low)$0.03EV contribution (high)$1.52Case cost range$6.00 – $75.00Cases needed (avg)1496,667

EV contribution shows how much this skin statistically adds to the expected return per case opening. A higher contribution relative to case cost indicates better statistical value. Case opening results are random — individual outcomes will vary from these estimates.

The M4A1-S | Dark Water is a sleek, monochromatic skin featuring swirling metallic patterns that give the rifle a mysterious, liquid-like sheen. Its subdued elegance makes it a popular choice for players who prefer refined and tactical aesthetics.

Visual Description

Dark Water showcases a rippling wave pattern across the rifle’s upper body, blending shades of gunmetal gray and deep black. The design resembles swirling oil on a reflective surface, creating a subtle yet hypnotic texture. The finish has a semi-gloss quality that catches light without appearing overly shiny. Polymer components remain matte black to maintain a cohesive tactical look. Wear lightly dulls the pattern and exposes darker steel, but the liquid-metal effect stays identifiable across all floats.

History and Origin

This skin belongs to one of the early pattern-based collections emphasizing textured metallic surfaces. Dark Water adapted a marbled, fluid-inspired design originally seen on other weapon classes, bringing a sophisticated monochrome pattern to the M4A1-S. Its introduction helped reinforce the rifle’s identity as a canvas for understated, professional skins.

Popularity and Usage

Players who enjoy minimalist loadouts or prefer stealth-oriented cosmetics frequently use Dark Water. Its subtle pattern works well in competitive environments, where clarity and low visual noise are appreciated. Collectors value it for its early CS skin lineage and consistent demand among fans of grayscale designs.

Price Formation Factors

Value is influenced by float quality, pattern clarity, and general market supply. Lower floats maintain smoother, more reflective marbling, while higher floats appear darker and more muted. Interest in monochrome skins and early-pattern designs also affects pricing trends.

FAQ

Does pattern index matter?
No, the marbled layout does not vary meaningfully between items.

Is it good for tactical loadouts?
Yes, its low-contrast design fits tactical themes perfectly.

Does wear significantly impact the look?
Wear softens the shine but preserves the wave pattern.

Price Information

The StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) is tracked across multiple CS2 platforms with varying statistical profiles. Market price for this skin ranges from $209.55 - $226.73 depending on platform and case. Drop rate varies between 0.015% - 0.67% across different cases, with case costs ranging from $6.00 - $75.00. Use the EV block above to compare statistical value across listings.